AFAC has released the Bushfire Seasonal Outlook for Spring 2021, with varied fire potential for locations across Australia.

The Spring 2021 Outlook presents above normal fire potential for conditions over south-east Queensland and northern New South Wales, driven by grass and crop growth in these areas.

In Western Australia, the above normal fire potential in the north is driven by grass growth and dry soil in the area.

Below normal fire potential is predicted across the ACT, New South Wales and Victoria as a result of vegetation recovering from the 2019–20 bushfire season.

While most of Australia shows normal bushfire potential during the spring outlook period, destructive and deadly fires can still occur during normal bushfire seasons across Australia. Fire potential can vary greatly, even at the smaller scale, between bordering states and territories.

Each state and territory’s assessment considers different land use types and vegetation types. This in turn is influenced by different forecasts for temperature and rainfall over these regions. The Outlook provides further detail on each state and territory’s fire potential.

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