Queensland has continued to experience mild and wet conditions over the first seven months of 2021 with long term rainfall deficits returning to average conditions across most of the state, except coastal and inland areas between the
Capricornia and Wide Bay areas and the Granite belt. These weather events have led to a slower start to the fire season with the exception of the Burnett, Wide Bay and Bundaberg regions which have experienced and earlier than expected
start to their fire season. A dry and mild August period has generated higher than average median growth in the Wide Bay and Burnett regions and a higher than normal chance of ignition. With a negative IOD and neutral ENSO conditions and a La Niña outlook forecast, the climate outlook for the August to November period is likely to be influenced by significant rainfall and local drivers. The temperature outlooks are for average to lower maximum temperatures across most of the state with above average temperatures in the Far North/Cape area; increased minimum temperatures are forecast for the entire state. Rainfall outlook is above median rainfall across the remainder of the state. The milder conditions and the probability of above median rainfall across the state will likely result in continuation of the favourable conditions for new grass growth. Queensland is likely to see a slight increase in localised areas of grassland fires across the South East area, the Burnett/Wide Bay areas, coastal areas between Gladstone and Mackay and North Queensland.

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